Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.046225 0.050290 0.054409 0.058889 0.063616 0.068450 0.073758
2024-10-27 0.040187 0.046217 0.052551 0.059676 0.067438 0.075614 0.084849
2024-11-03 0.034647 0.041980 0.049946 0.059179 0.069524 0.080697 0.093616
2024-11-10 0.030675 0.039003 0.048329 0.059431 0.072173 0.086232 0.102804
2024-11-17 0.027752 0.036888 0.047405 0.060225 0.075249 0.092128 0.112350
2024-11-24 0.026486 0.036551 0.048408 0.063142 0.080703 0.100715 0.124995
2024-12-01 0.022974 0.033180 0.045536 0.061243 0.080327 0.102431 0.129628
2024-12-08 0.020574 0.030985 0.043910 0.060674 0.081389 0.105719 0.136016
2024-12-15 0.018594 0.029162 0.042599 0.060361 0.082654 0.109171 0.142550
2024-12-22 0.017872 0.028936 0.043268 0.062486 0.086891 0.116195 0.153377
2024-12-29 0.016805 0.028150 0.043137 0.063537 0.089757 0.121546 0.162207
2025-01-05 0.015776 0.027333 0.042898 0.064396 0.092347 0.126546 0.170620
2025-01-12 0.014165 0.025607 0.041389 0.063577 0.092830 0.129013 0.176063
2025-01-19 0.013277 0.024875 0.041194 0.064473 0.095508 0.134231 0.184944
2025-01-26 0.012023 0.023496 0.040019 0.063983 0.096342 0.137112 0.190929
2025-02-02 0.011118 0.022583 0.039446 0.064268 0.098161 0.141230 0.198470
2025-02-09 0.010455 0.022000 0.039305 0.065116 0.100708 0.146271 0.207187
2025-02-16 0.010454 0.022491 0.040747 0.068199 0.106280 0.155249 0.220952
2025-02-23 0.009125 0.020667 0.038653 0.066198 0.104925 0.155224 0.223244
2025-03-02 0.008262 0.019562 0.037580 0.065599 0.105429 0.157585 0.228569
2025-03-09 0.007535 0.018632 0.036724 0.065270 0.106271 0.160370 0.234433
2025-03-16 0.007424 0.018813 0.037613 0.067512 0.110703 0.167924 0.246513
2025-03-23 0.007079 0.018531 0.037744 0.068621 0.113550 0.173390 0.255912